Linux can’t win the Desktop. The work behind Linux is to create the Kernel and the system around is spread to many projects and there is not a general Linux vision so Linux from it’s point to be just Linux won’t take over the Desktop, it must be one of those creations, the Distributions, but as we see they are so many and they can’t really take the Desktop either so what about KDE?

I think KDE can reach more users with the next big step, I would call KDE 4 “four is one” because it will be the biggest step and you can’t expect it before Spring 2007. It needs to change to a project that creates and controls your whole Linux experience from controlling your whole system and maintaining it and coming with all the cool programs you want to use. We see that there is not much unification in the Linux Desktop world, and the Linux Standard Base is a useless approach to reach this. The next step needs to be done by KDE because Linux and the Distributions are not responding. They all base on Linux which doesn’t follow any Desktop visions and the Distributions bring their own Control Centers which creates another thousand options next to the KDE Control Center. So all in all it’s not easy for a new user to find their way to Linux.

What about GNOME? A project that does the little work but came up with beagle, a very cool search tool, but it’s the other big desktop that is fighting for beeing the better desktop, of course the developers never say they are fighting but if they wouldn’t, they could unite their projects and reach out for more.

So is there even a chance for Linux? Not at the moment. And I’m sorry to tell you but there isn’t a big chance for Linux right now to take over the Desktop. As long as Linux runs without a vision for reaching the Desktop none of the Desktops alone can do the work. So KDE 4, GNOME 3, and other future projects might be cool approached but as long as they don’t get the support from the Linux base, they can’t bring the innovation together so Microsoft is probably gonna take another win with Vista, though it is full with not the lastest ideas, its just again going to be a bunch of new look-things and everybody is just going to say wow but it won’t be that kind of a show. So what to do? Ask the Linux guys to get a vision! Look around on Mac OS X as it starts running on non-apple machines (not legally but the time might change that) and ReactOS… or maybe there might be a change but for this you need to bring those thousands of heads of Linux, Distributions and all the other projects together and let them create a goal, right now the system got to big to have the power to suceed in taking on the Desktop. Until those changes take place, Windows can continue it’s monopol non-sense win.

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